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Table 3 Predictive Probabilities

From: Fully Bayesian tests of neutrality using genealogical summary statistics

Data Set Demographic Model T t MRCA D F I c C n B 1 MV
Brown bear
(d-loop)
Constant 0.205 0.164 0.128 0.307 0.844 0.900 0.219
  Exponential growth 0.382 0.374 0.209 0.305 0.832 0.886 0.284
HRSV
(g gene)
Constant 0.045 0.034 0.044 0.835 0.851 0.865 0.330
  Exponential growth 0.294 0.335 0.121 0.805 0.845 0.857 0.463
Dengue-4
(E gene)
Constant 0.036 0.004* 0.001* 0.434 0.401 0.581 0.027*
  Exponential growth 0.219 0.170 0.013* 0.449 0.349 0.498 0.128
Human influenza A
(HA)
Constant 0.040 0.101 <0.001* 0.951 0.392 0.393 0.024*
  Exponential growth 0.085 0.381 0.001* 0.916 0.427 0.438 0.018*
  1. Univariate and multivariate posterior predictive p-values for summary statistics on each of the example data sets. Significant departures (univariate: p B <α/2 or p B > 1 - α/2; multivariate: p B <α for α = 0.05) from neutrality are marked (*). Significant departures on the best fitting model for each data set are in bold.