Figure 2

Simulated data estimates. Accuracy of parameter estimation for the twelve parameters in the divergence model. For each parameter, the ratio of the estimated median posterior probability to the "true" value of the parameter in the simulation. The horizontal gray lines delineate a ratio of unity. The heavy lines in the box plots are the median, the hinge of the boxes are the 25% and 75% quantiles and the outer whiskers represent the 2.5% and 97.5% quantiles. Results are presented for each of the twelve simulated datasets, the parameters of which are listed in Table 1. Posterior probability distributions are taken over all ten replicate runs of the Markov chain.